"Once 700 billion dollar wins approval of United States Congress, will be the biggest move helping city on American history. Nevertheless, the United States issues a dollar in great quantities, the likelihood makes Chinese liquidity excess the problem is exasperate. " yesterday some net " wall street predicament and Chinese stock market " on the seminar, " finance and economics " tall (of chief economist Shen MingRich guest) feel anxious quite to this plan that help city.
As continuity of American banking crisis outspread, its make the central point that economics bound pays close attention to closely to the influence of Chinese economy. Shen Ming is tall express, the United States saves city to be able to make the United States faces the finance deficit of 10% not only, and can give add fast the Chinese economy that puts delay brings new pressure.
"If the United States saves city to plan to be able to stabilize the confidence of investor, bring about capital circumfluence, so this will be best result. " nevertheless, shen Ming supports pessimistic attitude high to such hypothesis however. He expresses, short-term in, before American market did not affirm bottom, investor delivers fund very hard to dollar assets substantially, the possibility that the dollar capital of new investment leaves American market is very large still.
"And one of short-term flow direction that the rising market such as China will become the fund of thousands of 100 million dollars that helps city this, the afflux of a large number of dollars makes Chinese liquidity excess likely the problem worsens further, increase the inflationary pressure of Chinese future. In addition, because issue a dollar in great quantities, bring about dollar assets to devalue, this huge to China foreign exchange reserve is very adverse, real loss is in China actually respect. " Shen Ming is tall express.
Shen Ming's tall viewpoint caused grand source negotiable securities (prices) the intense resonance of institute director Cheng Wenwei. Cheng Wenwei expresses, because liquidity is excess aggravate, can bring about price of data of heavy goods, production to rise again, this will compress the profit space of Chinese enterprise once more, bring about Chinese exit to put delay.
In fact, mixed external economy has made each orgnaization reduced prospective China economy to add fast anticipate. National information center of this week newest forecast express, the four seasons spends Chinese GDP(gross domestic product this year) amplitude may drop to 9% the following.
"Chinese economy is in pivotal transition period, this economy is adjusted as it happens and external economy puts delay coincide, american economy anabiosises need a long time, need to also need for a long time inside stimulation. " Shen Ming is tall express, chinese economy wants to put American economy the influence that delay place brings to fall to lowest, lean only inside need to drive.
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